Predicted Place Prices
New in the more recent Pro versisons of Bet Selector is the ability to test predicted place prices in Expert Mode. There are two variables for this as follows:
PLCPREDSP - Predicted place price based on TAB prices
PLCPREDRP - Predicted place price based on rated prices
Note the above are not yet in the Expert Mode editor drop downs but can be typed in directly. For example if you want the predicted place price based on TAB prices to be less than $1.20 the rule would be:
PLCPREDSP<1.2
Note we do not have the final place divs to do value analysis but I am sure you will still find these variables useful. The above rule for example over metrops can even be used for win betting.
Some of you may recall my Place Odds Report from 20 years ago where we had a special calculation for determining true place odds (note they are not linearly related to win odds) and then used these for place and trifecta purposes. The above variables give you those predictions in terms of dividends. In theory a figure less than 1.20 should equate to an 80%+ place strike rate and a figure less than 1.1 should equate to a 90%+ place strike rate. More background can be found in the original Place Odds Report which is available on request.
